Apr
28

Power Ranking Super 14 Semi finals predictions

By Hamish McBrearty

As the Super 14 reaches the business end of the competition I thought I’d mix and match my mathematical models and post some predictions as to who will make the semi finals. These could be wildly inaccurate as they are based on incomplete data but the results are interesting.

Before I publish the tables, let me mention a couple of caveats. First, these predictions only work a week in advance, so the predictions for week 13 and 14 results do not have all the results factored in. Secondly, bonus points are completely disregarded for the purpose of this exercise as there is no way of predicting which way they could go.

Sports After Dark
Hurricanes 46
Bulls 45
Chiefs 40
Sharks 39
Crusaders 39
Force 36
Blues 34
Waratahs 32
Brumbies 31
Highlanders 27
Stormers 23
Lions 19
Reds 18
Cheetahs 11
Hollinger
Hurricanes 46
Bulls 41
Force 40
Chiefs 40
Sharks 39
Blues 38
Waratahs 36
Crusaders 35
Highlanders 27
Brumbies 27
Stormers 23
Lions 19
Reds 18
Cheetahs 11

Interestingly enough, both models predict the Hurricanes, Bulls and Chiefs to make the top four, with either the Force or Sharks rounding out the top four. Neither seem beyond the realm of possibility either, although the Force get a big boost to their Hollinger ranking due to their drubbing of the Lions which may mean they’re over-ranked.

Personally I’m inclined to agree with my model on current form, and this one sees no Australian teams in the semi finals…

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