May
07

Power Rankings: Who will make the top four?

By Hamish McBrearty

Last week I published an article containing how my two ranking models were predicting who would make the semi finals. The answer was resoundingly the Hurricanes, Bulls and Chiefs, with either the Sharks or Force rounding out the top four. Another week has gone by, the models have been fed more data and with just two weeks to go, here’s how they are predicting the table to finish.

Sports After Dark
Hurricanes 47
Bulls 45
Chiefs 41
Crusaders 40
Sharks 39
Force 37
Waratahs 36
Brumbies 36
Blues 31
Highlanders 27
Stormers 23
Lions 19
Reds 18
Cheetahs 12
Hollinger
Hurricanes 47
Bulls 45
Chiefs 41
Crusaders 40
Sharks 39
Force 37
Waratahs 36
Blues 35
Brumbies 32
Highlanders 27
Stormers 23
Lions 19
Reds 18
Cheetahs 12

Both tables are now virtually identical, with the only result the models disagree on being the Brumbies v Blues game this weekend. As neither of the models takes bonus points into account, there could be a little shuffling, but given their various runs home, I am now officially endorsing the top four predicted by these models as the way the Super 14 will finish. That sees the Bulls facing the Chiefs in Pretoria and the Hurricanes facing the Crusaders in Wellington as your semi finalist.

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The Power Rankings: Who will make the top four? by Hamish McBrearty, unless otherwise expressly stated, is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

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