Archive for Rugby World Cup

Mar
03

Inside The Numbers: Week 3

Posted by: Hamish McBrearty | Comments (0)

While calculating this week’s Power Rankings, I came across some rather interesting statistics and thought that I would launch a new segment based on this. So here’s instalment number one of Inside The Numbers, a look at how the stats tell stories every Monday only at Sports After Dark.

Strength of Schedule

A typically American stat, strength of schedule will tell you how tough the draw so far has been for teams. Typically you would expect teams near the top of the table to have low strength of schedules and those near the bottom to have weak ones, but that’s not always the case.

Here’s how the Super 14 stacks up after week 3:

Team SOS
Highlanders 66.67
Chiefs 62.96
Blues 61.11
Stormers 57.41
Lions 57.41
Cheetahs 50.00
Bulls 49.63
Reds 49.63
Crusaders 49.63
Hurricanes 45.19
Force 43.92
Brumbies 38.89
Sharks 35.45
Waratahs 35.19

One thing that seems fairly obvious is that the Waratahs have had the easiest draw so far. The only team they’ve beaten with a win to their name is the Hurricanes. Some of the more interesting stories that this tells is that the bottom placed Cheetahs rank sixth in strength of schedule, just ahead of the first placed Bulls. So what story does that tell? It tells us that the Cheetahs have lost three games to teams with poor record (or more accurately weaker teams in the competition but I’m trying to be diplomatic here) and that the Bulls have beaten three teams with good records. Both of these factors are reflected in the team’s Power Rankings.

Points Against

Team PA
Sharks 40
Waratahs 45
Force 51
Chiefs 52
Bulls 55
Stormers 58
Crusaders 61
Reds 63
Hurricanes 67
Lions 69
Cheetahs 72
Brumbies 72
Blues 86
Highlanders 89

Anyone who saw the Sharks defend so resolutely for the final ten minutes against the Chiefs knows that this is a good defensive team, but the stats tell how good they really are. So far the average number of total points scored in a game is 41.9 and the Sharks concede an average of just 13.3. If defense really does win championships, could this be the year of the Sharks?

Most other stats up until now are either uninteresting or skewed badly by an unusual result. For example the Bulls have the best attack in the competition by more than 30 points, but that was largely achieved by their seven try drubbing of the Blues. And speaking of the Blues, despite being fifth on the table, they have the third worst points differential, again thanks to the game with the Bulls.

Feb
12

Sports After Dark episode one

Posted by: Hamish McBrearty | Comments (0)

Sports After Dark is pleased to announce the first episode of our new podcast. It’s a little rough, I know, but it will get better over time and I’d love to hear your feedback on it.

Nov
08

Why Graham Henry must go

Posted by: Hamish McBrearty | Comments (0)

When Graham Henry was appointed as All Blacks coach in 2003, he was given one simple goal: win the 2007 World Cup. Henry not only failed to do that, he was given everything he wanted to achieve that goal and for that reason he has to go.

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During pool play at the Rugby World Cup there was free and opening running but in the knockout stage the game was dominated by stifling defence. The South African’s ability to switch gears was one of the major reasons they now have the Webb Ellis trophy for the next four years.

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In a titanic struggle fitting of the World Cup final it was South Africa who made the most of their chances to claim their second World Cup title with a 15-6 win over England at Stad de France.

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